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Qual 112022 Colorado Regional
Red124
133942.9
248629.6
406823.2
Blue42
337431.4
438610.3
748515.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84440206010012014012442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1339
#2
42.93.4
35.2→38.7
Auto13.2
Teleop19.7
End10.0
red by 11.5
3374
#9
31.40.6
29.6→29.1
Auto9.4
Teleop17.0
End5.0
Second
2486
#3
29.63.1
18.3→21.4
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End5.6
red by 14.0
7485
#22
15.60.9
8.5→7.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End6.8
Third
4068
#7
23.23.1
20.2→23.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End7.0
red by 12.9
4386
#33
10.30.9
8.4→7.4
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsEarned32%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned30%Hangar oddsMissed