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Red49
13033.3
459327.8
54938.8
Blue113
133942.9
429321.7
569027.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4091020608010012014016049113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4593
#14
27.80.4
25.025.4
Auto5.9
Teleop14.0
End7.8
blue by 15.2
42.91.7
38.740.4
Auto13.2
Teleop19.7
End10.0
Second
5493
#38
8.80.6
12.012.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.6
blue by 18.6
5690
#13
27.51.9
22.023.9
Auto9.4
Teleop13.4
End4.6
Third
1303
#31Sur
3.30.6
6.77.3
Auto0.8
Teleop1.5
End0.9
blue by 18.4
21.71.7
18.219.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed57%Hangar oddsEarned