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Red20
748515.6
77373.0
203618.8
Blue45
441816.8
133215.2
494410.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274201020506070802045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2036
#20
18.80.8
12.711.9
Auto8.4
Teleop8.7
End1.8
red by 2.0
4418
#19
16.80.5
13.313.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End4.7
Second
7485
#22
15.60.8
7.66.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End6.8
red by 0.3
1332
#16
15.20.8
8.89.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End4.0
Third
7737
#39
3.00.8
6.65.9
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End0.2
blue by 7.8
4944
#25
10.80.8
15.716.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed