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Red44
197713.0
429321.7
294518.6
Blue34
17999.7
441816.8
438610.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403101020506070804434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.6
17.318.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End11.3
red by 4.9
4418
#19
16.80.3
13.613.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End4.7
Second
2945
#12
18.60.5
10.410.9
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End6.6
red by 8.3
4386
#33
10.30.5
7.98.4
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End3.1
Third
1977
#18
13.00.9
8.49.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End3.2
red by 3.3
1799
#29
9.70.5
8.38.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed