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Red80
248629.6
459327.8
494410.8
Blue67
429321.7
748515.6
449928.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71622040801001208067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.9
26.026.9
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End5.6
red by 1.3
28.30.5
27.127.6
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End4.4
Second
4593
#14
27.80.9
25.726.6
Auto5.9
Teleop14.0
End7.8
red by 6.0
21.70.5
20.420.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End11.3
Third
4944
#25
10.81.4
14.215.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.0
End4.1
blue by 4.8
7485
#22
15.60.7
12.212.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsEarned40%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsEarned67%Hangar oddsEarned