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Red50
20838.7
406823.2
320017.9
Blue31
569027.5
77373.0
57636.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464101001502002503003505031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.3
20.020.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End7.0
blue by 4.3
5690
#13
27.50.7
22.121.4
Auto9.4
Teleop13.4
End4.6
Second
3200
#23
17.90.3
14.614.9
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End3.9
red by 11.3
5763
#34
6.70.9
9.28.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End-0.2
Third
2083
#35
8.70.3
8.08.2
Auto5.3
Teleop1.5
End1.9
red by 5.7
7737
#39
3.00.9
7.97.0
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed