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Red82
569027.5
337431.4
441816.8
Blue45
438610.3
124515.1
455015.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8335020601001208245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.4
29.529.9
Auto9.4
Teleop17.0
End5.0
red by 15.7
4550
#21
15.70.2
16.016.1
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End7.6
Second
5690
#13
27.50.4
25.626.0
Auto9.4
Teleop13.4
End4.6
red by 12.4
1245
#32
15.10.2
13.513.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.7
End6.9
Third
4418
#19
16.80.4
16.717.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End4.7
red by 6.5
4386
#33
10.30.2
9.19.4
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned61%Hangar oddsMissed