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Red55
455015.7
57636.7
459327.8
Blue79
141020.3
203618.8
337431.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4970204060801005579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4593
#14
27.80.4
26.927.3
Auto5.9
Teleop14.0
End7.8
blue by 3.7
31.41.1
29.930.9
Auto9.4
Teleop17.0
End5.0
Second
4550
#21
15.70.4
16.116.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End7.6
blue by 4.6
20.31.1
18.619.6
Auto5.8
Teleop4.9
End9.5
Third
5763
#34
6.70.5
5.96.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End-0.2
blue by 12.1
2036
#20
18.81.3
14.515.8
Auto8.4
Teleop8.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed57%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsEarned