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Red41
429321.7
15916.5
124515.1
Blue68
299619.9
197713.0
825017.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413602060801004168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.2
18.018.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End11.3
red by 1.8
2996
#17
19.91.9
17.219.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End5.7
Second
159
#15
16.50.4
10.010.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End10.2
blue by 1.0
8250
#10
17.52.8
8.110.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.1
End5.9
Third
1245
#32
15.10.4
9.610.0
Auto4.5
Teleop3.7
End6.9
red by 2.1
1977
#18
13.02.8
9.312.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsEarned