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Red110
133942.9
161951.6
494410.8
Blue42
337431.4
224019.4
74793.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1244910015020011042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.0
52.252.1
Auto12.6
Teleop26.4
End12.7
red by 20.2
31.40.3
31.731.4
Auto9.4
Teleop17.0
End5.0
Second
42.90.0
43.543.5
Auto13.2
Teleop19.7
End10.0
red by 23.5
19.40.3
19.719.4
Auto7.4
Teleop8.1
End3.8
Third
4944
#25
10.80.0
11.411.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.0
End4.1
red by 7.1
7479
#40
3.70.3
4.03.7
Auto2.3
Teleop-0.3
End1.6