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Red91
449928.3
248629.6
203618.8
Blue47
406823.2
141020.3
441816.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846320401001201401609147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.3
29.529.8
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End5.6
red by 6.4
23.20.5
23.723.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End7.0
Second
28.30.3
28.228.5
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End4.4
red by 8.0
20.30.5
20.820.3
Auto5.8
Teleop4.9
End9.5
Third
2036
#20
18.80.3
18.719.0
Auto8.4
Teleop8.7
End1.8
red by 2.0
4418
#19
16.80.5
17.316.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End4.7