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Red92
161952.0
449956.6
99973.4
Blue73
406817.0
133935.2
54938.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1325301001502009273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.60.5
57.156.6
Auto11.8
Teleop32.1
End12.8
red by 21.4
35.20.2
35.035.2
Auto9.6
Teleop17.7
End7.9
Second
52.00.5
52.552.0
Auto14.5
Teleop25.5
End12.0
red by 35.0
4068
#11
17.00.2
16.817.0
Auto6.3
Teleop6.6
End4.1
Third
9997
#28
3.40.5
3.93.4
Auto2.2
Teleop0.8
End0.3
blue by 5.0
5493
#21
8.40.2
8.28.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.2
End3.6