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Red57
299622.9
429321.8
99996.0
Blue88
406817.0
133935.2
54938.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566001001505788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.1
22.922.9
Auto5.5
Teleop10.9
End6.5
blue by 12.3
35.20.7
33.634.3
Auto9.6
Teleop17.7
End7.9
Second
21.80.1
21.821.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End13.4
red by 4.8
4068
#11
17.00.7
15.416.2
Auto6.3
Teleop6.6
End4.1
Third
9999
#25
6.00.1
6.06.0
Auto4.8
Teleop1.2
End-0.1
blue by 2.4
5493
#21
8.40.7
6.87.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.2
End3.6