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Red22
299622.9
99930.7
49449.6
Blue30
20835.0
14108.6
998810.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333301020304050602230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.4
14.113.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.9
End6.5
red by 12.2
10.60.4
5.75.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.7
End3.7
Second
4944
#15
9.60.4
12.111.7
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.8
End7.3
red by 1.0
1410
#20
8.60.2
15.615.4
Auto4.2
Teleop-1.4
End5.8
Third
9993
#23
0.70.7
2.31.5
Auto1.7
Teleop-2.5
End1.4
blue by 4.3
2083
#13
5.00.2
8.48.1
Auto2.3
Teleop0.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed