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Red44
17998.5
998810.6
224014.8
Blue25
19779.8
99973.4
337429.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285502040801001201404425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#22
14.81.0
15.716.7
Auto6.0
Teleop5.5
End3.3
blue by 15.0
29.81.5
34.933.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.4
End12.0
Second
10.61.7
5.67.2
Auto2.2
Teleop4.7
End3.7
red by 0.8
1977
#10
9.81.5
6.44.9
Auto1.0
Teleop1.3
End7.5
Third
1799
#14
8.51.0
7.78.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End1.6
red by 5.1
9997
#28
3.42.5
6.64.1
Auto2.2
Teleop0.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed32%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsEarned