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Red95
99947.5
406817.0
449956.6
Blue57
29459.1
441812.6
14108.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions953902060801201409557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.60.8
60.361.2
Auto11.8
Teleop32.1
End12.8
red by 44.0
4418
#12
12.60.5
14.313.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End4.2
Second
4068
#11
17.00.8
19.720.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.6
End4.1
red by 7.9
2945
#16
9.10.5
15.314.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.2
End2.4
Third
9994
#18
7.51.4
2.53.9
Auto1.0
Teleop2.9
End3.6
blue by 1.1
1410
#20
8.60.5
14.814.3
Auto4.2
Teleop-1.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
55%Cargo oddsEarned33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsEarned57%Hangar oddsMissed