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Red21
364814.5
99947.5
99973.4
Blue55
20835.0
19779.8
49449.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2525152030354045552155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3648
#17
14.50.1
14.214.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End4.4
red by 4.7
1977
#10
9.81.3
5.77.0
Auto1.0
Teleop1.3
End7.5
Second
9994
#18
7.50.2
3.33.1
Auto1.0
Teleop2.9
End3.6
blue by 2.1
4944
#15
9.61.3
11.713.0
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.8
End7.3
Third
9997
#28
3.40.2
5.04.8
Auto2.2
Teleop0.8
End0.3
blue by 1.6
2083
#13
5.01.3
6.27.5
Auto2.3
Teleop0.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsEarned