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Red50
161952.0
7737-1.5
99930.7
Blue41
49449.6
99973.4
337429.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59532040805041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.00.7
51.650.9
Auto14.5
Teleop25.5
End12.0
red by 22.2
29.80.5
32.732.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.4
End12.0
Second
9993
#23
0.71.0
-0.7-1.7
Auto1.7
Teleop-2.5
End1.4
blue by 8.9
4944
#15
9.60.5
13.012.4
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.8
End7.3
Third
7737
#26
-1.50.7
1.40.7
Auto0.5
Teleop-1.5
End-0.4
blue by 4.9
9997
#28
3.40.8
3.32.6
Auto2.2
Teleop0.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed79%Hangar oddsEarned