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Red47
406817.0
429321.8
7737-1.5
Blue2
99930.7
45501.7
17998.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5434020406080100472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.1
21.721.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End13.4
red by 13.3
1799
#14
8.52.1
9.77.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End1.6
Second
4068
#11
17.00.1
23.223.1
Auto6.3
Teleop6.6
End4.1
red by 15.3
4550
#24
1.72.1
15.713.5
Auto1.7
Teleop-2.0
End2.1
Third
7737
#26
-1.50.1
3.03.0
Auto0.5
Teleop-1.5
End-0.4
blue by 2.1
9993
#23
0.73.6
8.65.1
Auto1.7
Teleop-2.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed