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Red51
29459.1
133935.2
99947.5
Blue36
99973.4
429321.8
17998.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49310204060801001205136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.5
30.430.9
Auto9.6
Teleop17.7
End7.9
red by 13.4
21.80.4
20.220.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End13.4
Second
2945
#16
9.10.5
10.611.1
Auto4.6
Teleop2.2
End2.4
red by 0.6
1799
#14
8.50.4
6.97.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End1.6
Third
9994
#18
7.50.6
2.93.6
Auto1.0
Teleop2.9
End3.6
red by 4.1
9997
#28
3.40.6
2.63.1
Auto2.2
Teleop0.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed59%Hangar oddsMissed