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Red51
99996.0
320011.3
133935.2
Blue87
161952.0
337429.8
20835.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49980204060801201405187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.1
31.531.3
Auto9.6
Teleop17.7
End7.9
blue by 16.8
52.00.0
50.450.5
Auto14.5
Teleop25.5
End12.0
Second
3200
#19
11.30.1
11.811.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End3.3
blue by 18.5
29.80.0
30.630.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.4
End12.0
Third
9999
#25
6.00.2
5.85.6
Auto4.8
Teleop1.2
End-0.1
red by 1.0
2083
#13
5.00.0
5.35.3
Auto2.3
Teleop0.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed90%Hangar oddsEarned