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Red10
45501.7
99973.4
998810.6
Blue14
203615.6
17998.5
29459.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204504060801014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.61.5
8.06.5
Auto2.2
Teleop4.7
End3.7
blue by 5.0
15.61.7
17.215.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End3.2
Second
9997
#28
3.41.5
4.83.3
Auto2.2
Teleop0.8
End0.3
blue by 5.7
2945
#16
9.11.7
14.212.4
Auto4.6
Teleop2.2
End2.4
Third
4550
#24
1.71.0
7.56.5
Auto1.7
Teleop-2.0
End2.1
blue by 6.8
1799
#14
8.51.7
8.36.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed