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Red128
740746.1
23047.4
5715.2
Blue96
8835.3
19535.9
318216.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079040608010012014016012896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
47.40.6
47.347.9
Auto13.6
Teleop21.5
End12.3
red by 11.6
195
#3
35.90.1
35.535.6
Auto9.0
Teleop17.1
End9.8
Second
46.10.6
45.946.5
Auto15.4
Teleop20.0
End10.7
red by 10.8
88
#4
35.30.1
34.935.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.7
End12.7
Third
571
#39
5.20.6
5.15.6
Auto3.6
Teleop1.7
End-0.1
blue by 11.1
3182
#20
16.30.1
15.916.0
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End4.5