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Red35
206411.5
776013.5
199121.7
Blue38
634615.7
712710.9
318216.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304002060801003538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.1
13.813.9
Auto8.7
Teleop11.2
End1.8
red by 5.4
3182
#20
16.30.1
12.011.8
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End4.5
Second
7760
#17
13.50.1
4.34.4
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End7.5
blue by 2.2
6346
#15
15.70.1
8.28.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End2.9
Third
2064
#32
11.50.1
11.411.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End4.2
red by 0.6
7127
#34
10.90.1
16.015.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed