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Red54
49877.4
11249.9
23632.3
Blue61
206726.7
318216.3
888913.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4259020801001205461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#11
32.30.0
27.127.2
Auto9.7
Teleop16.5
End6.1
red by 5.5
2067
#10
26.70.5
27.127.6
Auto10.2
Teleop8.4
End8.2
Second
1124
#31
9.90.0
7.17.1
Auto5.1
Teleop1.3
End3.5
blue by 6.4
3182
#20
16.30.5
11.612.1
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End4.5
Third
4987
#40
7.40.0
7.27.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End2.5
blue by 6.5
8889
#25
13.90.5
14.314.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsMissed