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Red81
19535.9
55822.2
83915.6
Blue26
888913.9
107115.5
49877.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603920801001208126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
35.91.8
22.124.0
Auto9.0
Teleop17.1
End9.8
red by 20.4
1071
#14
15.50.9
17.616.7
Auto6.2
Teleop4.8
End4.5
Second
558
#8
22.21.8
18.220.0
Auto7.4
Teleop6.4
End8.4
red by 8.4
8889
#25
13.90.9
14.813.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Third
839
#13
15.61.8
13.515.3
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End3.5
red by 8.3
4987
#40
7.40.9
7.26.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed