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Red58
514214.8
37199.5
808525.3
Blue27
49877.4
36349.8
346419.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423620305060705827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.31.3
19.520.8
Auto7.8
Teleop11.8
End5.6
red by 5.6
3464
#24
19.60.5
19.619.1
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End1.7
Second
5142
#18
14.81.3
12.613.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.4
End4.1
red by 5.0
3634
#28
9.80.7
9.48.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End3.5
Third
3719
#33
9.51.3
6.47.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.8
red by 2.1
4987
#40
7.40.5
5.85.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed