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Red85
19535.9
199121.7
49877.4
Blue44
816713.7
769413.0
636714.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574020801008544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
35.92.2
28.630.8
Auto9.0
Teleop17.1
End9.8
red by 21.3
6367
#29
14.60.2
13.212.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End3.6
Second
21.72.2
18.320.5
Auto8.7
Teleop11.2
End1.8
red by 8.0
8167
#21
13.70.2
14.214.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End4.0
Third
4987
#40
7.42.2
4.66.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End2.5
blue by 5.7
7694
#19
13.00.2
12.312.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo oddsEarned32%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed