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Red54
22816.6
15519.7
346113.1
Blue11
206713.8
58569.9
37195.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions572802040801005411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155
#3
19.70.0
19.819.8
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End4.8
red by 5.9
2067
#11
13.80.4
14.213.8
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End4.9
Second
228
#4
16.60.0
16.716.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End8.2
red by 6.7
9.90.4
10.39.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End3.0
Third
3461
#32
13.10.0
13.113.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End4.5
red by 7.9
3719
#21
5.20.4
5.65.2
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End1.4