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Red37
55814.2
9998.7
15519.7
Blue46
19916.7
17727.5
107110.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313702060803746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155
#3
19.70.8
9.910.7
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End4.8
blue by 7.8
177
#5
27.50.9
15.816.6
Auto8.1
Teleop11.0
End8.5
Second
558
#17
14.20.8
11.412.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End6.6
red by 3.5
1071
#36
10.70.9
10.311.1
Auto6.2
Teleop2.6
End1.9
Third
999
#19
8.70.8
8.89.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End1.8
red by 2.0
1991
#34
6.70.9
8.39.2
Auto3.1
Teleop1.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed