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Red30
206713.8
318212.0
46285.2
Blue19
22816.6
1819.0
74626.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273902060801003019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#11
13.80.1
13.413.3
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End4.9
blue by 2.8
228
#4
16.62.3
16.013.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End8.2
Second
3182
#15
12.00.1
8.07.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End4.9
red by 2.9
181
#31
9.02.3
11.89.5
Auto3.7
Teleop2.5
End2.9
Third
4628
#26
5.20.1
5.55.4
Auto1.4
Teleop1.3
End2.5
blue by 1.1
7462
#38
6.22.3
7.55.3
Auto2.8
Teleop1.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed