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Red21
37195.2
808515.1
22816.6
Blue68
135012.1
17310.7
23027.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374401001502168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#4
16.61.7
14.713.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End8.2
blue by 10.6
230
#2
27.21.7
22.424.1
Auto8.7
Teleop8.7
End9.8
Second
8085
#12
15.11.7
16.014.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End2.2
red by 3.0
1350
#27
12.11.7
11.212.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End3.3
Third
3719
#21
5.21.7
5.23.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End1.4
blue by 5.5
173
#18
10.71.7
6.88.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed45%Hangar oddsEarned