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Red47
17727.5
71616.1
206413.1
Blue63
109913.5
23618.8
808515.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40381020305060704763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#5
27.50.2
15.615.8
Auto8.1
Teleop11.0
End8.5
red by 8.7
236
#10
18.83.0
12.515.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End4.4
Second
716
#30
16.10.2
12.012.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End2.7
red by 1.0
8085
#12
15.13.0
12.715.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End2.2
Third
13.10.2
10.010.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End4.7
blue by 0.4
1099
#14
13.53.0
10.513.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed