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Red40
1789.3
17310.7
15519.7
Blue35
888911.1
71616.1
35669.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333902060804035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155
#3
19.70.9
13.514.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End4.8
red by 3.6
716
#30
16.10.1
12.512.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End2.7
Second
173
#18
10.70.9
8.79.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End1.5
blue by 0.4
8889
#28
11.10.1
12.412.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End1.5
Third
178
#35
9.30.9
9.610.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End2.6
blue by 0.1
3566
#13
9.40.0
10.710.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed