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Red39
107110.7
37195.2
81679.4
Blue40
23618.8
22816.6
206413.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194504060803940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1071
#36
10.71.1
10.912.0
Auto6.2
Teleop2.6
End1.9
blue by 8.1
236
#10
18.80.1
15.015.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End4.4
Second
8167
#33
9.41.1
5.86.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End2.5
blue by 7.2
228
#4
16.60.1
13.113.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End8.2
Third
3719
#21
5.21.1
4.55.6
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End1.4
blue by 7.9
13.10.1
10.911.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
5%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed