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Red28
135012.1
78696.3
11245.6
Blue25
19916.7
346113.1
55814.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35290204060802825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1350
#27
12.10.5
13.813.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End3.3
blue by 2.0
558
#17
14.20.3
11.611.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End6.6
Second
7869
#25
6.30.5
10.710.2
Auto4.0
Teleop1.5
End0.8
blue by 6.8
3461
#32
13.10.4
11.411.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End4.5
Third
1124
#24
5.60.5
8.07.5
Auto3.9
Teleop0.1
End1.6
blue by 1.2
1991
#34
6.70.4
5.34.9
Auto3.1
Teleop1.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed