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Red35
808515.1
102712.9
135012.1
Blue40
23618.8
9998.7
35669.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453702060803540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8085
#12
15.10.5
15.114.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End2.2
blue by 3.7
236
#10
18.80.0
18.218.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End4.4
Second
12.90.5
13.513.0
Auto3.8
Teleop2.3
End6.7
red by 3.5
3566
#13
9.40.0
9.29.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End1.1
Third
1350
#27
12.10.5
12.612.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End3.3
red by 3.4
999
#19
8.70.0
8.68.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed