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Red68
83623.4
88820.4
28499.1
Blue62
409920.3
62015.5
29149.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554410203040506070806862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#3
23.40.4
22.623.1
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End4.5
red by 3.2
20.30.5
19.620.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.0
End5.1
Second
888
#1
20.40.4
19.620.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End8.7
red by 4.9
620
#2
15.50.5
14.915.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End6.8
Third
2849
#12
9.10.4
8.38.7
Auto4.7
Teleop2.8
End1.6
red by 0.1
2914
#11
9.00.5
8.38.8
Auto5.5
Teleop2.6
End0.9