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Red30
83263.9
409920.3
6127.1
Blue21
29888.6
291211.1
37933.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313501020405060703021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.31.3
11.810.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.0
End5.1
red by 9.2
11.11.7
11.49.7
Auto1.6
Teleop6.6
End2.9
Second
612
#16
7.11.3
11.09.8
Auto1.0
Teleop1.7
End4.4
blue by 1.5
8.61.7
9.37.5
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End4.8
Third
3.91.3
6.85.5
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.2
End1.5
red by 0.1
3793
#15
3.81.7
11.810.1
Auto0.9
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed