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Red19
37933.8
88820.4
45053.0
Blue51
29888.6
83623.4
86221.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30290102040506070801951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#1
20.40.8
20.019.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End8.7
blue by 3.0
836
#3
23.41.6
20.722.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End4.5
Second
3793
#15
3.80.8
4.63.8
Auto0.9
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 4.8
8.61.6
7.18.7
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End4.8
Third
4505
#17
3.00.8
3.72.9
Auto1.3
Teleop1.3
End0.4
red by 2.0
8622
#18
1.01.6
-0.61.0
Auto0.9
Teleop0.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed