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Red41
88820.4
409920.3
58307.7
Blue43
29149.0
62015.5
37933.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3332010204050604143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#1
20.41.1
11.712.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End8.7
red by 4.9
620
#2
15.51.4
11.012.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End6.8
Second
20.31.1
10.511.6
Auto4.2
Teleop11.0
End5.1
red by 11.3
2914
#11
9.01.4
8.910.4
Auto5.5
Teleop2.6
End0.9
Third
5830
#10
7.71.1
9.110.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End0.5
red by 3.9
3793
#15
3.81.4
10.111.5
Auto0.9
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed