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Red12
188523.0
44568.4
172713.8
Blue17
29983.2
55498.8
81971.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432602060801217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.02.9
13.911.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End8.9
red by 14.2
8.82.0
9.07.0
Auto3.2
Teleop1.4
End4.2
Second
13.82.9
12.59.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.9
End0.9
red by 10.7
2998
#19DQ
3.22.0
12.810.8
Auto1.3
Teleop2.3
End-0.4
Third
4456
#10
8.42.9
11.98.9
Auto1.1
Teleop1.4
End5.9
red by 6.7
8197
#16
1.72.0
4.82.9
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End-1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed