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Red58
188523.0
78864.8
111122.1
Blue22
13895.2
17198.9
44568.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423102060805822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.01.7
14.916.6
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End8.9
red by 14.1
1719
#13
8.90.9
11.911.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End2.4
Second
22.11.6
18.720.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.2
End3.1
red by 13.7
4456
#10
8.40.9
11.610.7
Auto1.1
Teleop1.4
End5.9
Third
7886
#17
4.81.6
4.86.5
Auto0.9
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 0.4
1389
#14
5.20.9
7.16.2
Auto1.5
Teleop-0.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsMissed