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Red50
253411.3
188523.0
65045.9
Blue21
82308.9
11239.7
29983.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382901020506070805021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.01.6
16.618.3
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End8.9
red by 13.3
1123
#12
9.71.2
10.49.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End3.1
Second
11.31.6
13.014.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End3.8
red by 2.4
8230
#11
8.91.2
10.49.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Third
5.91.6
4.76.3
Auto1.1
Teleop2.7
End2.1
red by 2.8
2998
#19
3.21.2
7.36.2
Auto1.3
Teleop2.3
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed