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Red39
11239.7
65045.9
159920.1
Blue20
17198.9
172713.8
29983.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353620304050603920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.6
17.317.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End9.3
red by 6.2
13.81.3
16.715.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Second
1123
#12
9.70.6
9.39.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End3.1
red by 0.8
1719
#13
8.91.3
11.09.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End2.4
Third
5.90.6
6.36.9
Auto1.1
Teleop2.7
End2.1
red by 2.8
2998
#19
3.21.3
6.24.8
Auto1.3
Teleop2.3
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed