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Red34
17198.9
13895.2
62312.7
Blue43
219921.7
172713.8
85905.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28360102040506070803443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#4
12.70.8
11.412.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End6.8
blue by 8.9
21.71.2
14.215.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End10.5
Second
1719
#13Sur
8.90.8
7.07.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End2.4
blue by 5.0
13.81.2
12.213.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Third
1389
#14
5.20.8
8.69.4
Auto1.5
Teleop-0.7
End4.4
blue by 0.4
8590
#15
5.61.2
6.37.4
Auto1.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsMissed