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Red23
46388.7
162918.4
558710.3
Blue16
291210.9
253710.3
82176.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423102060802316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.41.7
16.314.6
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End9.8
red by 7.5
10.90.9
12.111.2
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End2.0
Second
5587
#12
10.31.7
13.611.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Level
10.31.6
12.911.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End2.3
Third
4638
#14
8.71.7
8.46.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6
red by 2.4
8217
#13
6.41.6
5.23.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed