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Red27
61415.5
173116.7
63264.9
Blue42
253710.3
62133.6
162918.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333215202530404550552742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.70.5
15.515.0
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End4.0
blue by 1.7
18.41.3
14.615.9
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End9.8
Second
614
#7
15.50.5
11.511.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End5.9
red by 5.2
10.31.3
10.812.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End2.3
Third
6326
#15
4.90.5
4.33.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End0.9
red by 1.3
6213
#16
3.61.3
5.26.5
Auto1.3
Teleop1.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed