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Red40
558710.3
141815.5
424214.2
Blue43
173116.7
63264.9
162918.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42361020305060704043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.50.2
14.514.6
Auto5.9
Teleop3.2
End6.3
blue by 2.9
18.40.9
15.916.7
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End9.8
Second
14.20.1
14.614.7
Auto5.0
Teleop2.3
End6.9
blue by 2.5
16.70.9
15.015.9
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End4.0
Third
5587
#12
10.30.2
9.49.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End2.1
red by 5.4
6326
#15
4.90.9
3.94.7
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsEarned