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Red56
61415.5
291210.9
511512.9
Blue18
68612.3
77708.8
253710.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323902060801005618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#7
15.52.2
11.013.2
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End5.9
red by 3.2
686
#11
12.31.9
11.69.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.3
Second
12.92.2
9.912.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End3.5
red by 2.6
10.31.9
12.010.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End2.3
Third
10.91.4
10.211.6
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End2.0
red by 2.1
7770
#10
8.81.9
12.310.4
Auto3.6
Teleop0.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsMissed